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In the realm of stock trading, especially during periods marked by significant market downturns, conventional short-term speculative strategies often come with heightened risksThese risks are not just related to the probability of success, which tends to be low, but also to the potential for substantial losses when aggressive methods fall shortYet, a subset of professional traders is driven by the imperative to generate returns, even amidst a prolonged bearish marketThis persistent search often leads to the exploration of ultra-short-term trading strategies that can yield relatively high success rates in such challenging environmentsOne interesting strategy that has gained traction is the practice of capitalizing on price movements during the closing minutes of trading, particularly beneficial for those operating with smaller amounts of capital and seeking quick gains—a tactic that might also be advantageous in certain small-cap trading competitions.
This closing-time trading strategy is primarily designed as an ultra-short-term speculative approach
Just prior to the market's close—typically within the last thirty minutes—there's a tendency for increased volatilityThe T+1 trading system, which restricts the timing of sell orders to the next trading day, further amplifies this urgency, thereby encouraging institutional traders to act within this condensed timeframeThere are occasions where a stock may show a consistently upward trajectory throughout the day, only to plummet just minutes before the market closesConversely, stocks that have stagnated or declined during the day can witness a dramatic uptick at the closeThus, this period becomes specifically suitable for short-term investments utilizing smaller capital.
The strategy revolves around the principle of predicting market behavior based on its understood dynamics, aiming to capture the briefest trends within the marketBy focusing trades within the last ten minutes of trading and the ten minutes preceding the next day’s opening, traders seek to secure profits from these rapid price movements.
To encapsulate, I propose a summary of effective tactics for employing this trading strategy:
Engaging in frequent short-term trades without regard to overall market movements is a risky endeavor known as a "perpetual motion" approach, a practice best avoided in trading
The optimal timing for trades would be after the market has experienced a significant decline and has begun to show signs of recovery, particularly on days when the first rebound candlestick appearsExperience reveals that trading is often most favorable during the last moments on Thursdays, especially following a steep market drop, or during the last trading day of the month.
Moreover, it is essential to consider the recent patterns of rebound following market declines—for instance, a tendency for leading stocks, which are volume leaders, to bounce back before smaller stocks follow suit.
Many short-term investors favor trading in stocks exhibiting high volatility, yet doing so in a bearish market can lead to disastrous outcomes stemming from unstable investor sentiment and broad market weaknessStocks with lower volatility present a distinct advantage, reducing the likelihood of severe losses while providing sufficient market support for participation in new stock offerings.
From personal experience, I prefer two specific categories of low-volatility stocks:
The first category includes stocks with exceptionally low trading volumes
These stocks often have significant discrepancies between buy and sell orders, sometimes exceeding 1%. Investors must exhibit patience and consider placing lower buy orders to wait for favorable transaction opportunitiesGenerally, a more substantial buy order can trigger a price collapse, while insufficient demand could lead to last-minute price increases.
The second category involves stocks that have dropped below their net asset values or present low price-to-earnings ratios, such as highway stocksThese shares are appealing primarily due to their lower price pointsEven if purchases are made slightly above market price, there typically will be orders beneath that price to facilitate smooth selling in the subsequent morning’s session.
Within a bearish market, the impulse to chase after strong stocks is common among investorsHowever, this can lead to enormous dangers due to occurrences of price corrections and rotational declines
In practice, I tend to select oversold stocks that lack significant negative external influencesMy strategy involves initially making small purchases and then logging a more substantial order at a lower price point, anticipating that frustrated institutional investors or large holders may attempt to drive up prices during the tail end of tradingIt is crucial that once a buy order is placed, it should not be tampered with to avoid attracting the attention of the stock exchangeA cautiously low buy order is unlikely to execute immediately; however, even if it does, there remains potential for future profits in subsequent trades.
Recognizing stocks that display reliable patterns of volatility is equally significant:
Should conditions permit, stocks that are buoyed by identifiable catalysts should take precedence in selection
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